As Hurricane Milton, a Category 5 Storm, Nears Landfall, We Look at the Influence of Ethiopia’s Highlands

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The Global Impact of Ethiopian Mountains and Hurricanes: How East Africa’s Highlands Affect Extreme Weather in the Americas

As America brace for the destructive force of Hurricane Milton, following closely on the heels of Hurricane Helene, it’s crucial to understand how seemingly distant geographic regions can influence the development of such extreme weather. Ethiopia’s towering highlands, while far removed from hurricane-prone regions like the southeastern United States, play a significant role in the broader global climate system, including the factors that affect hurricane formation and intensity.

The Ethiopian Highlands: An Unseen Influencer of Global Weather

Ethiopia, known for its dramatic mountain ranges like the Simien and Bale Mountains, stands as a significant climate influencer in East Africa. These highlands, often referred to as the “Roof of Africa,” play a critical role in regional and global weather systems through their influence on atmospheric circulation. When moist air masses from the Indian Ocean and Red Sea rise over these highlands, the mountains force them to cool and condense, releasing rainfall across Ethiopia. This orographic lift not only contributes to Ethiopia’s rainy seasons but also impacts the moisture dynamics of the broader region.

These air masses, once dried by the Ethiopian highlands, continue to move westward toward the Atlantic Ocean, influencing the conditions necessary for hurricane formation. Hurricanes thrive on moist, warm air, and the reduced moisture content due to the interaction with Ethiopia’s mountains could potentially inhibit the intensification of some tropical storms.

The Role of African Easterly Waves in Hurricane Formation

Another important element linking Ethiopia’s highlands to hurricanes is the creation of African Easterly Waves (AEWs). These atmospheric disturbances, born from the temperature contrast between the Sahara Desert and tropical regions, frequently travel across the Atlantic, serving as the “seeds” for many tropical storms and hurricanes that form in the Atlantic basin. The Ethiopian mountains help define this temperature and moisture contrast, especially during the monsoon season, which can enhance the formation of these waves.

AEWs are responsible for up to 60% of the hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean, according to meteorologists. The moisture dynamics influenced by Ethiopia’s highlands, therefore, play a crucial role in determining whether these waves develop into tropical storms or hurricanes.

Hurricanes Helene and Milton: A Devastating One-Two Punch

This hurricane season has brought two significant storms: Hurricane Helene, which recently struck Florida and neighboring states, and Hurricane Milton, a Category 5 storm expected to make landfall on October 9, 2024. Both hurricanes have already caused extensive evacuations and emergency declarations across Florida. Helene left over 160 people dead and billions in damages, and federal assistance has already surpassed $210 million.

Now, Hurricane Milton threatens even greater destruction as it approaches Florida’s Gulf Coast, bringing with it life-threatening storm surges of up to 15 feet in some areas. The intensity of Milton, like many other hurricanes, has been amplified by warm ocean temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico. These warm waters, fueled by climate change, provide the necessary energy for hurricanes to grow explosively, just as Hurricane Milton has done in recent days.

Teleconnections: How Ethiopia’s Mountains Influence Global Weather Patterns

In climate science, teleconnections refer to climate phenomena that influence each other across large distances. Ethiopia’s mountains are part of a larger global climate system that indirectly affects weather patterns far beyond Africa. Through their impact on the African Easterly Waves and the Indian Ocean Dipole, the highlands influence moisture distribution and atmospheric circulation on a global scale. These patterns, in turn, affect how air masses behave as they move westward toward the Atlantic, where hurricanes typically form.

For instance, during periods of Indian Ocean Dipole variability, the Indian Ocean experiences changes in sea surface temperatures, which influence the wind patterns over Ethiopia. These changes can affect the formation of AEWs, which can either increase or decrease the likelihood of hurricanes forming in the Atlantic depending on the conditions.

The Future of Hurricanes and Global Weather Interactions

As global temperatures continue to rise due to climate change, the dynamics between Ethiopia’s highlands and global weather systems are likely to intensify. Warmer sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic, fueled by climate change, will likely lead to more frequent and stronger hurricanes, as evidenced by Hurricane Milton’s rapid intensification. Meanwhile, changes in the Ethiopian highlands’ rainfall patterns could alter the frequency and strength of African Easterly Waves, further influencing hurricane formation in the Atlantic.

Researchers are now paying closer attention to how the changing climate will impact global weather patterns, including the interaction between Ethiopian mountains and hurricanes. The complex relationship between these distant regions highlights the need for a better understanding of global climate systems and their far-reaching impacts.

The Interconnectedness of Our Climate

The relationship between Ethiopia’s highlands and hurricanes like Helene and Milton illustrates the interconnectedness of global weather systems. While Ethiopia may be geographically distant from the hurricanes ravaging the United States, its mountains are part of a larger global system that influences the development and intensity of these storms. As climate change accelerates, understanding these unseen connections becomes even more critical for predicting and preparing for extreme weather events across the globe.

Addis Insight
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